Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 7th July 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 10th July 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

  

The Oslo FoB Index rally continued during the last week of trading. I refreshed the support and resistance zones levels. The next horizontal resistance zone is at 104.19 NOK.

There is a black downward sloping trendline that is just below the 104.19 NOK resistance zone. The Oslo FoB Index has also stayed above the green upsloping trendline. The slope of the accent in the Oslo FoB Index has increased above the green trendline. The red downward sloping trendline is the trendline that has stopped the recent rallies. The red trendline is a good distance away, near 113.71 NOK horizontal resistance zone. It’s challenging to see but the Oslo FoB Index is testing the underside of a price moving average which could offer resistance.

The Composite Index is at a high historical displacement. The Composite Index can keep going higher but at some point, it will need to reset lower. The Composite Index is in the same situation as last week’s update, it’s at a higher displacement while Oslo FoB Index is at a lower price, this is a sign of weakness. There is also divergence between the Composite Index and the RSI, this is also a sign of weakness. Notice the moving averages on the Composite Index and the RSI now have a positive displacement, this is a bullish development.

It can be interpreted that the RSI already tested the positive crossover of its moving averages and is rebounding higher. As we’ve seen in the past, this can be a very bullish setup for the Oslo FoB Index. As usual, we are seeing some positive and negative clues as to what the future will bring for the Oslo FoB Index. The first sign of trouble, in the short term, would be the Oslo FoB Index breaking the green upward sloping trendline.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.

Disclaimer

All information provided contains no guarantee whatsoever, especially of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or of the results obtained from the use of this information, and is provided without warranty of any kind, expressly or implied. In no event will, LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon, its member firms, or the partners, directors, officers, owners, agents or employees thereof be liable to you or anyone else for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information or for any consequential, special or similar damages, even if advised of the possibility of such damages. In no event and under no legal or equitable theory, whether in tort, contract, strict liability or otherwise, shall LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential damages arising out of any use of the information contained herein, including, without limitation, damages for lost profits, loss of goodwill, loss of data, work stoppage, the accuracy of results, or computer failure or malfunction