Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 7th April 2023

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 11th April 2023

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

  


The Oslo FoB Index has rallied 4.3% since my last update. The Oslo FoB Index is just under the 120.96 NOK horizontal resistance zone.

There is also a price moving average and a red upsloping trendline that should also provide some resistance. The next higher resistance zone is the 126.24 NOK horizontal price zone. The Composite Index has rallied above its fast and slow moving averages and the green downward sloping trendline. The next likely resistance zone for the Composite Index is the light blue trend line just above it’s current displacement.

The Composite Index does have history of changing directions at its current displacement. The RSI has turned higher and moved above its fast-moving average. The RSI is challenging the green downward sloping trendline. The RSI also has history of changing its direction at its current displacement. The RSI held the 40(ish) displacement area which increases the probability that this latest move down is a corrective.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.

Disclaimer

All information provided contains no guarantee whatsoever, especially of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or of the results obtained from the use of this information, and is provided without warranty of any kind, expressly or implied. In no event will, LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon, its member firms, or the partners, directors, officers, owners, agents or employees thereof be liable to you or anyone else for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information or for any consequential, special or similar damages, even if advised of the possibility of such damages. In no event and under no legal or equitable theory, whether in tort, contract, strict liability or otherwise, shall LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential damages arising out of any use of the information contained herein, including, without limitation, damages for lost profits, loss of goodwill, loss of data, work stoppage, the accuracy of results, or computer failure or malfunction