Technical Analysis: LFEX Norway Exporters Salmon Index, 30th September 2022

David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

Published: 3rd October 2022

This Article was Written by: David Nye - The London Fish Exchange

  

The Oslo FoB market had a nice rally in the last 7 days. Prices are staying above the brown down sloping trendline and grey up sloping trendline.

There are two moving averages in the 80 NOK area that is a possible target for prices to move towards. There are several horizontal resistance zones shown with red dashed lines above the current price that can stop a price advance. The Composite Index has rallied above the green trendlines and above its fast-moving average. The Composite Index has rallied to the higher end of its historical displacement.

The Index also has history at this displacement. Notice the divergence between the Composite Index and Price and the RSI. I drew a brown trend line on the Composite Index and RSI to help your eye see the divergence. The RSI has room to run higher. As long as the Oslo FoB Index price can stay above the green trendline, connecting the last two price lows, I’m inclined to stay bullish on prices.

  About This Analysis

About David Nye

David is a Senior Vice President in investment advisory with over 30 years of experience.

Based in Minnesota, USA he has a long history in technical analysis across a range of markets. David brings his experience to provide an independent insight into potential salmon pricing based on LFEX and DataSalmon data.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical Analysis is used to try and identify price trends in the future. Analysts believe that by using factual past information (trading activity and price changes) it is possible to identify future price movement trends and is quite prevalent in commodity and forex markets but can be applied to any product.

Technical Analysis has been developing for over a century, and there are now hundreds of patterns and signals that have been created. They are often used in conjunction with other forms of research and analysis to help formulate, or support pricing trend opinions.

Purpose of the Analysis?

To provide an independent data-driven view of market pricing trends in the short and medium-term. As a potential tool, for users to access future pricing trends based on LFEX/DataSalmon derived market data.

How Does it Work?

On a regular basis (weekly), David will provide his independent analysis of LFEX and DataSalmon pricing data. The output will be to provide pricing trends based on the most up to date pricing received.

The analysis will show the expected trends and potential (price) levels, as well as other markers – for example, higher or lower price triggers that would affect the analysis of the trend – and what this might mean. It is data-driven, and will not, and does not, account for any other fundamental analysis, or weather or biological events for example. This is the same for any commodity product technical analysis.

Disclaimer

All information provided contains no guarantee whatsoever, especially of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or of the results obtained from the use of this information, and is provided without warranty of any kind, expressly or implied. In no event will, LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon, its member firms, or the partners, directors, officers, owners, agents or employees thereof be liable to you or anyone else for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information or for any consequential, special or similar damages, even if advised of the possibility of such damages. In no event and under no legal or equitable theory, whether in tort, contract, strict liability or otherwise, shall LFEX Ltd or DataSalmon be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential damages arising out of any use of the information contained herein, including, without limitation, damages for lost profits, loss of goodwill, loss of data, work stoppage, the accuracy of results, or computer failure or malfunction