The London Fish Exchange

LFEX European Aquaculture Snapshot to 15th February, 2024

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The LFEX Norwegian Exporters Index for Week 7 2024 ended the week up +0.24%, +0.26 NOK to stand at 109.46 NOK (in EUR terms 9.64 / +0.06 / +0.59%) FCA Oslo Week ending Thursday vs previous Thursday.

The NOK rate ended down at 11.36 to the Euro over the period Thursday to Thursday -0.04 NOK or -0.35%. The Fish Pool future February was reported up +0.10 NOK, +0.09% at 109.60 NOK.

The index opened up small last Friday +1.18% at 110.5 as prices held onto their previous closing levels (109.20). Monday saw a further rise to 111.39, and Tuesday 112.16 the peak for the week. Expectation was that prices would fall back later in the week which they did, with the week ending marginally higher at 109.46. Euro prices showing a little more at 9.64 as the NOK put on a 1/3 of a percent. Larger fish 5/6s showing a more marked decrease Wed/Thurs bring the index down and the spread between 3/4s and 5/6s down to around 15 NOK (from 21 the week prior). Prices were pretty stable on low volumes.

Next week is a difficult one to call. Price discovery is hard in early market. There is the expectation that volumes will be further restricted for week 8, forcing offered prices up maybe 9 – 10 NOK. Whether customers will buy anything other than the bare minimum they require is questionable at these levels, given that they have been quiet at week 7 levels.

By Comparison – pricing for Week 8 last year was a strong week ending up at 119.7 as low harvest volumes squeezed supply.

David Nye’s technical analysis report will be published later next week.

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